Quakes are DEFINITELY up, if you’re in a traditionally seismic area that hasn’t had a moderate or larger quake yet, get your shit together.
on September 6, 2012 at 8:31 am
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2012 Aug 27 2200 UTC
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 240 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Aug 2012 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1558 (N18E78) produced the largest flare of the period, a B9 at 27/0821Z. Three new regions were numbered: Region 1556 (S12W79) an Axx-alpha type group; Region 1557 (N17E38) a Bxo-beta type group; and Region 1558 a Bxo-beta type group. The remaining numbered regions were stable and quiet. Several CMEs were observed however none appear to be Earth-directed. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low to low with a slight chance for moderate activity for the next three days (28-30 August). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for active conditions on days 1-2 (28-29 August) due to continued effects from a coronal hole high speed stream. On day 3 (30 August), conditions are expected to return to predominately quiet levels. III. Event Probabilities 28 Aug-30 Aug Class M 15/15/15 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 27 Aug 112 Predicted 28 Aug-30 Aug 120/120/125 90 Day Mean 27 Aug 124 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 26 Aug 010/011 Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Aug 006/007 Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Aug-30 Aug 007/008-007/008-006/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Aug-30 Aug A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/15/05 Minor storm 05/05/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor storm 25/25/15 Major-severe storm 25/25/05